Bayes Approach to estimation the Fuzzy reliability for Frechet Distribution By using simulation

Authors

  • Mehdi Wahab Nasrallah
  • Bashar Khaled Ali

Keywords:

Bayesian estimation, Reliability estimation, Frechette distribution, Fuzzy life data

Abstract

In this research we will estimate the distribution parameters by using the method of Bayes when the data of life times are fuzzy numbers. And then use the estimates obtained in the estimation of the fuzzy reliability function of the distribution and then choose the best estimate of this function by comparing in mean square error (MSE) and Mean Absolut Proportional Error (MAPE). The researcher concluded by means of the simulation results that the estimation of the fuzzy is better than the real for all sample sizes when we estimate of the Frechet distribution parameters by using Bayes method. The mean error squares (MSE) and the Mean Absolut Proportional Error (MAPE) are contrasted to the lowest of the sample size n = 500.

References

المصادر References

A. Ibrahim, Nathier & A. Mohammed, Hussein, (2017), "Parameters and Reliability Estimation for the Fuzzy Exponential Distribution", American Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 7(4): 143-151

Abbas, Kamran & Yincai, Tang, (2012), "Comparison of Estimation Methods for Frechet Distribution with Known Shape", Caspian Journal of Applied Sciences Research, 1(10), pp. 58-64, ISSN: 2251-9114, CJASR

Al-nasser.Abdul majeed hamza, (2009),"An introduction to statistical reliability", Ithraa publishing and distribution

Buckley, James J., (2006), "Fuzzy Probability and Statistics", Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, pp. 1-49

Chen, Guanrong; Tat, Trung, (2000), "Introduction to Fuzzy Sets, Fuzzy Logic, and Fuzzy Control Systems", Boca Raton London New York Washington, D.C.CRC Press

Denoeux, Thierry, (2011), "Maximum likelihood estimation from fuzzy data using the EM algorithm", Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 183, pp. 72–91

Felipe R. S. de Gusmão ; Edwin M. M. Ortega ; Gauss M. Cordeiro, (2011), " The generalized inverse Weibull distribution" , Stat Papers (Springer 2011 52, pp. 591–619

Harish Garg, S.P. Sharma and Monica Rani, (2013)," Weibull fuzzy probability distribution for analyzing the behaviour of pulping unit in a paper industry" . Int. J. Industrial and Systems Engineering, Vol. 14, No. 4 , pp 395-413

Huang , Hong-Zhong; Zuo Ming J.; and Sun Zhan-Quan, (2006), "Bayesian reliability analysis for fuzzy lifetime data", Fuzzy Sets and Systems 157, 1674 – 1686

Kwang H. Lee, (2004) , " First Course on Fuzzy Theory and Applications" , ISSN 16-15-3871, ISBN 3-540-22988-4 Springer ,Berlin Heidelberg NewYork, ppt:1-20

M. SHUAIB KHAN; PASHA G.R; AHMED HESHAM PASHA, (2008), "Theoretical Analysis of Inverse Weibull Distribution", WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on MATHEMATICS, Issue 2, Volume 7, pp. 30-38

Pak ,Abbas ; (2016)," Inference for the Shape Parameter of Lognormal Distribution in Presence of Fuzzy Data " Pak.j.stat.oper.res. Vol.XII No.1, pp. 89-99

Pak ,Abbas ; (2017)," Statistical inference for the parameter of Lindley distribution based on fuzzy data" Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, Vol. 31, No. 3, 502–515

Pak, Abbas; Ali, Gholam & Saraj, Mansour, (2013), "Inference for the Weibull Distribution Based on Fuzzy Data", Int J Syst Assur Eng Manag, vol.: 36, no. 2, pp. 339 - 358

Pak, Abbas; Ali, Gholam & Saraj, Mansour, (2013), "Reliability estimation in Rayleigh distribution based on fuzzy lifetime data", Int J Syst Assur Eng Manag, springer , DOI 10.1007/s13198-013-0190-5

Peter ter Berg, (2009) , " Unification of Frechet and Weibull Distribution " , DNB Working Paper, No.198/pp. 1-13

Tao ,Terence ,(2011), "An Introduction to Measure Theory", the American Mathematical Society (AMS), pp. 77-89

Torabi, H. & Mirhosseini S. M., (2009), " The Most Powerful Tests for Fuzzy Hypotheses Testing with Vague Data" , Applied Mathematical Sciences, Vol. 3, 2009, no. 33,pp. 1619 – 1633

Wu, Hsien-Chung, (2004), "Fuzzy reliability estimation using Bayesian approach", Computers & Industrial Engineering, 46, pp. 467–493

Zadeh L. A. (1972),"A Fuzzy-Set-Theoretic Interpretation of Linguistic Hedges" , Journal of Cybernetics, 2:3, 4-34.

Zadeh L. A. (1975), " The Concept of a Linguistic Variable and its Application to Approxirqate Reasoning-III*", NFORMATIONSCIENCES9, 43-80.

Zadeh, L. A., (1965), ''Fuzzy Sets'', Information and control, Department of Electrical Engineering and Electronics Research Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley ,California ,8, 338-353

Zadeh, L. A., (1968), ''Fuzzy Algorithms'', Information and control, 12, 94-102

Zadeh, L., A., (1968), ''Probability Measures of Fuzzy Events", Journal of Mathematical analysis and applications 23, 421-428.

Published

2024-10-06

How to Cite

مهدي وهاب نصر الله, & بشار خـالد علي. (2024). Bayes Approach to estimation the Fuzzy reliability for Frechet Distribution By using simulation . Iraqi Journal for Administrative Sciences, 14(58), 52–72. Retrieved from https://mail.journals.uokerbala.edu.iq:8443/index.php/ijas/article/view/2434